Friday, October 3, 2014

Help Wanted on Carolina's D-line

The late games really hurt us last week. Thank you consistency (Saints, Eagles & Patriots). 

WEEK 4 RESULTS
Spread: 6-6
Straight Up: 5-7

Let's get right to the games:

CHI @ CAR (-3)
The Panthers lost another defensive end to suspension this week. At this attrition rate, Carolina will need to score a lot in order to offset such losses, which they have not been doing (29 points scored vs. 75 points given up in the last two games). Enter Chicago, inconsistent at best. If you believe in logic patterns (L, W, W, L) would make for "W" time for the Bears. I'll take them and the points.

Spread: CHI
Straight Up: CHI
Score: 24-17

CLE @ TEN (-2)

The Browns have played some close games this season. The Titans have not (1 blowout win, followed by three huge losses). If we see Jake Locker this week (they say he'll play), I'd expect the game to be close. I'm thinking he doesn't play and the Browns take advantage. Take the points and the visitors.

Spread: CLE
Straight Up: CLE
Score: 27-24 

STL @ PHI (-7)

Tough loss last week for the Eagles on the road. Luckily, the Rams are coming to town. I think the Eagles win by 20+.

Spread: PHI
Straight Up: PHI
Score: 38-17

ATL @ NYG (-4)

The Falcons looked pretty atrocious last week, even needing to put a TE on the offensive line (not as a temporary blocker either). Eli Manning, meanwhile, has started to find quite a rhythm (partiuclalry with his TE's) and Rashad Jennings is running like the power back he can be. Until either team shows signs of turning the other way, I'll stick with the Giants. 

Spread: NYG
Straight Up: NYG
Score: 35-24

TB @ NO (-11)

To me, the Saints might be one of the most disappointing teams of the season, thus far. Picking them to cover a double digit spread when they have proven not to reliable on defense and lacked the usual fire on the offensive end is just foolish. Granted, the Bucs barely carved out a their first win last week in Pittsburgh. Do I spell winning streak for Mike Glennon? No, but I do think it will be a more competitive game. Take the points and the home team.

Spread: TB
Straight Up: NO
Score: 24-20

HOU @ DAL (-4)

DeMarco Murray has rushed for 100+ yards every game this year. Can the Texans be the first team to hold him under? I'm not certain. I do think though, that they can keep the Cowboys offense in check. Tony Rom, as we all know, is prone to turnovers and the Texans are an ideal team to take advantage. The Texans lack explosiveness on the offensive end, but QB Ryan Fitzpatrick should take advantage of a weak Dallas defense and expose them. 3 TD game for Andrew Johnson anyone? In the end, I like Dallas to win, but not to cover.

Spread: HOU
Straight Up: DAL
Score: 27-24

BUF @ DET (-7)

Poor Bills. They started strong and now they're just barely competitive. Let's see what Kyle Orton can do with them, getting the start this week. I like his experience coupled with the Lions lack of discipline, to at least keep the game close; not enough to win. Take the points, but Detroit for the victory.

Spread: BUF
Straight Up: DET
Score: 27-21


BAL @ IND (-3.5)

Andrew Luck and the Colts have been in an offensive groove lately. Then again, so have Steve Smith and the Ravens. I'll take Luck's hot hand any day. 

Spread: IND
Straight Up: IND
Score: 33-24

PIT @ JAC (+6.5)

Good news for the Jags; if last week is any indication, Pittsburgh is vulnerable during the last few minutes of the game. Bad news is that they have to play hard enough to keep it close through four quarters, not two. I think Borttles can do it if he keeps the turnovers to a minimum. I'll take the points, but the Steelers for the win.

Spread: JAC
Straight Up: PIT
Score: 21-17

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